England U19 are currently third in Group 2 in the Elite Round with all to play for as all four sides have three points.
The table looks like this :
- Sweden 3 pts 2-2
- Belgium 3 pts 2-2
- England 3 pts 1-1
- Austria 3 pts 1-1
The six group winners go through as well as the best runner-up from the the six groups.
Germany have already won Group 1, so there are six places still available and 20 teams are still in it.
Here are the rules if teams are level on points :
14.01 If two or more teams are equal on points on completion of a mini-tournament,
the following criteria are applied, in the order given, to determine the rankings:
a. higher number of points obtained in the mini-tournament matches played
among the teams in question;
b. superior goal difference from the mini-tournament matches played among the
teams in question;
c. higher number of goals scored in the mini-tournament matches played
among the teams in question;
d. if, after having applied criteria a) to c), teams still have an equal ranking,
criteria a) to c) are reapplied exclusively to the mini-tournament matches
between the teams in question to determine their final rankings. If this
procedure does not lead to a decision, criteria e) to h) apply;
e. superior goal difference in all mini-tournament matches;
f. higher number of goals scored in all mini-tournament matches;
g. lower disciplinary points total based only on yellow and red cards received in
the mini-tournament matches (red card = 3 points, yellow card = 1 point,
expulsion for two yellow cards in one match = 3 points);
h. drawing of lots.
1) A defeat eliminates England
2) A draw would leave England and Sweden with 4 points with Sweden ahead of England on criteria f)
1/ Any winner in the other game combined to a draw would also eliminate England as Austria or Belgium would get 6 points and top the group while England would finish third.
2/ If both games end up with a draw all four sides will have 4 points a) b) are not conclusive so c) apply.
England would be behind Sweden in the number of goals scored and would need to score more goals in their draw than Belgium in order to have more goals scored overall and therefore finish second in the Group.
3) A win would leave England with 6 points
1/ At the same time a draw between Austria and Belgium would send England through.
2/ Should Austria beat Belgium, England would finish first in the group due to criteria a) and qualify for the finals.
3/ Should Belgium beat Austria, England would finish second due to the same criteria a)
The best runner-up rule :
15.01 To determine the best runner-up from the elite round, only the matches of the
runners-up against the winners and third-placed teams in each group are taken
into account and the following criteria are applied in the order given:
a. higher number of points;
b. superior goal difference;
c. higher number of goals scored;
d. lower disciplinary points total based only on yellow and red cards received
(red card = 3 points, yellow card = 1 point, expulsion for two yellow cards in
one match = 3 points);
e. drawing of lots.
Considering there are still 20 teams overall who can finish in the top two positions, there are way too many combinations to look at in every group.
If we look at case 3)/3 :
Belgium and England 6 pts, Belgium ahead as they beat England 1-0, Sweden and Austria 3 pts Austria ahead as Austria beat Sweden 1-0. So results against Belgium and Austria count and England would end up with 3 pts and 1-1 in the runner-up race ( discounting the England v Sweden result)
If we look at case 2)/2 all four teams have 4 points, if we say England drew 2-2 with Sweden and Austria Belgium ended 0-0
- Sweden 4 pts 4-4
- England 4 pts 3-3
- Belgium 4 pts 2-2
- Austria 4 pts 1-1
We discount the game against Austria, England have 1 point and will not be the best runner-up.
The current standings are here and the way things are looking having 3 pts and 1-1 goal difference won’t be enough.
So England really need beat Sweden and hope Belgium do not beat Austria to go through.