The group winners and best runners-up (counting results against the teams first, third, fourth and fifth in their section) progress to the final tournament, and the other six runners-up go to the play-offs.
Play-offs rules : The six teams will be drawn into three pairs for the two-legged play-offs on 20/21 and 24/25 October 2012. The three nations with the highest coefficients are seeded and at home in the second leg. The three winners qualify for the finals.
So in group 1 Italy, Russia or Poland can win the group.
Group 2 Spain and Germany to battle for the win, Switzerland would need a monster effort to finish in the top 2.
Group 3 Iceland, Belgium, Northern and Norway all in it, a very open group which is unexpected really.
Group 4 France just need 3 home wins against Wales, Ireland and Scotland with those 3 teams fighting for the runner-up spot, except it Scotland takes 4 points of us and would finish top.
Group 5 All to play for for everyone except Estonia Slovakia and Belarus ahead of Finland and Ukraine.
Group 6 Netherlands and England will fight for the top spot.
Group 7 Denmark well ahead with Czech Republik and Austria for the runner-up place.
So far it is difficult to evaluate who will be the best runner-up, because in the 3 6 teams group, the bottom team is not clearly defined.